Opponent: No. 3 LSU Tigers (27-6, 16-2 SEC)
Location: VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, Florida
Tipoff: 12:10 p.m. ET, Saturday, Mar. 23
Last game: No. 6 Maryland beat No. 11 Belmont 79-77, No. 3 LSU beat No. 14 Yale 79-74
Last matchup: Never
Odds: LSU -1 (per OddsShark)
Kenpom prediction: LSU wins 74-73
TV: CBS — Ian Eagle (play-by-play), Jim Spanarkel (analyst) and Jamie Erdahl (sideline)
Streaming: March Madness Live
Radio: Maryland Sports Radio Network — Johnny Holliday (Play-by-play) and Chris Knoche (Analyst) — 105.7FM (Baltimore), 980AM (DC)
What to watch for Maryland: Turnovers
The Terrapins have struggled with turnovers all year on both sides of the ball. On offense, their turnover percentage is 241st out of 353 teams on Kenpom. Maryland’s defense does even worse as forcing turnovers, sitting at next-to-last in the country for turnover percentage. Maryland’s offense gives the ball away at a concerning rate and it rarely is able to get its opponent to lose the ball. However, Maryland’s offensive picked an awfully meaningful time to have its best game of the season for turnover percentage: just 7.2 percent of Maryland’s possessions ended with giving the ball away, a notable improvement from its 17.1 percent against Nebraska in the Big Ten tournament.
Against LSU, Maryland will be facing a defense that’s 66th in the country for turnover percentage, but fifth for steal percentage. Both of those stats were better than Belmont, so Maryland will face a tougher test on offense compared to the Bruins. How they do could be the difference between the Sweet 16 and going home.
What to watch for LSU: Smart shot selection
LSU is not a great three-point shooting team by any means. They rank 286th in the country for three-point percentage compared to 55th on twos. 34.1 of LSU’s field goal attempts are threes, which is 293rd in the country and is vastly less than Villanova’s 53.2 percent ratio of threes to field goal attempts.
Looking at LSU’s losses this season, several of them have come when the Tigers start to rely too heavily on threes. Their loss to Florida State saw them shoot as many twos as threes and LSU’s loss to Houston had 45.6 of its field goal attempts come from deep. If LSU starts to frequently shoot from deep, it could be what Maryland needs to play another tournament game.